Wednesday, November 7, 2012

2012 presidential election predictions vs actual results

Electoral-Vote.com and the FiveThirtyEight blog both made highly accurate election predictions long before any votes were cast. They did it simply by looking at the results of state-by-state polls instead of national polls.

The graphic below shows the Electoral-Vote.com predictions a full month before any presidential debates occurred, compared with the state-by-state election results known as of early morning on the day after election day.

2 comments:

  1. James - ever plan on reviving the housing blog?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi, My effort for the common good ...
    http://www.showrealhist.com/yTRIAL.html

    ReplyDelete